State Rep. Mike Keown (R) is challenging incumbent Congressman Sanford Bishop (D).
Landmark Communications' latest poll shows State Representative Mike Keown (R) is leading incumbent Congressman Sanford Bishop (D). You can also download the results at www.landmarkcommunications.net.
Voters were asked to self-identify their own likelihood for voting: only respondents who said they “definitely plan” to vote “somewhat likely to vote” are included in the final report, crosstabs and analysis. Voters who said they are “not likely to vote” or “definitely won’t vote” are excluded from all reports, crosstabs and analysis. Forty one percent of participants were African-American, which correctly reflects the likely turnout of this demographic on Election Day. Previous gubernatorial elections have resulted in turnout of 40% of the black vote. The margin of error was 3.25%, with 914 likely voters participating.
Perspective and Background -- Various national Republican candidates have performed well in this district despite its large African American population:
McCain carried 45% of the vote in the district in 2008; Bush carried 48% in 2004, and Bush carried 47% in 2000.
1. Challenger Mike Keown leads the race in the final week of the election. Keown leads Bishop by a 50% to 46% margin.
2. The district has a stronger than usual “decided” vote: only 3% of white voters and 6% of black voters say they are undecided.
3. Based on the numbers one week prior to the election: assuming 90%+ of the remaining undecided black vote goes to Bishop on Election Day, and assuming that Keown carries 70% of the remaining undecided white vote, Keown would win the election by 51-49%.
4. What has changed for Bishop is the total collapse of his white vote: only 15% of white voters say they will vote for Bishop, while 82% say they will vote for Keown.
5. THE AGE DIVIDE: Keown leads by a large margin with voters over the age of 50, while Bishop leads with those under age 50.
6. BY GENDER: Men are voting for Keown by more than a 20 point margin: 59% for Keown and 39% for Bishop. Women lean to Bishop over Keown by a 52%-44% margin.
CONCLUSION
It is premature to say that Keown will win this election. However, as of the date that this poll was conducted (October 26th 2010) -- one week before Election Day -- it is clear that Keown has gained traction and has developed a slight lead.
If Bishop does not successfully turn around white voters who are supporting Keown in the closing days of the election, there may very well be an upset victory for Keown.
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Showing posts with label democrat. Show all posts
Showing posts with label democrat. Show all posts
Thursday, October 28, 2010
Landmark Communications Releases Poll of Congressional District Seven
Republican Rob Woodall is leading Democrat Doug Heckman by a 60-30% margin
Landmark Communications conducted a poll of Congressional District Seven on October 25th, 2010. You can download the results at www.landmarkcommunications.net.
Voters were asked to self-identify their own likelihood for voting: only respondents who said they “definitely plan” to vote “somewhat likely to vote” are included in the final report, crosstabs and analysis. Voters who said they are “not likely to vote” or “definitely won’t vote” are excluded from all reports, crosstabs and analysis. Forty one percent of participants were African-American, which correctly reflects the likely turnout of this demographic on Election Day. Previous gubernatorial elections have resulted in turnout of 18% of the black vote. The margin of error was 3.0 %, with 1070 likely voters participating.
1. Republican Rob Woodall is leading Democrat Doug Heckman by a 60-30% margin.
2. Eight percent of white voters remain undecided, 17% of black voters are undecided, and 15% of ‘other race’ voters are undecided.
3. Assuming that 90%+ of the remaining undecided black vote goes to Heckman on Election Day, that Heckman carries 60% of the undecided voters who are of “other race”, and that Woodall carries 66% of the remaining undecided white vote (reasonable since he currently is carrying 75% of the “decided white vote”), Woodall will win the election by a 2-1 margin of about 65-35%.
4. Republican Rob Woodall is running stronger in the Seventh Congressional District than GOP gubernatorial candidate Nathan Deal is running in the same district. Nathan Deal holds 55% of the overall vote vs. Woodall’s 60% of the vote.
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Landmark Communications conducted a poll of Congressional District Seven on October 25th, 2010. You can download the results at www.landmarkcommunications.net.
Voters were asked to self-identify their own likelihood for voting: only respondents who said they “definitely plan” to vote “somewhat likely to vote” are included in the final report, crosstabs and analysis. Voters who said they are “not likely to vote” or “definitely won’t vote” are excluded from all reports, crosstabs and analysis. Forty one percent of participants were African-American, which correctly reflects the likely turnout of this demographic on Election Day. Previous gubernatorial elections have resulted in turnout of 18% of the black vote. The margin of error was 3.0 %, with 1070 likely voters participating.
1. Republican Rob Woodall is leading Democrat Doug Heckman by a 60-30% margin.
2. Eight percent of white voters remain undecided, 17% of black voters are undecided, and 15% of ‘other race’ voters are undecided.
3. Assuming that 90%+ of the remaining undecided black vote goes to Heckman on Election Day, that Heckman carries 60% of the undecided voters who are of “other race”, and that Woodall carries 66% of the remaining undecided white vote (reasonable since he currently is carrying 75% of the “decided white vote”), Woodall will win the election by a 2-1 margin of about 65-35%.
4. Republican Rob Woodall is running stronger in the Seventh Congressional District than GOP gubernatorial candidate Nathan Deal is running in the same district. Nathan Deal holds 55% of the overall vote vs. Woodall’s 60% of the vote.
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Wednesday, October 27, 2010
Landmark Communications Poll Release, Top GA Races
Deal leads Barnes 49-42% heading into final days
Attorney General: Olens (R) leads Hodges (D) 47-40%
School Superintendent: Barge (R) leads Martin (D) 48-36%
Despite a slight tightening in the race for governor, Republican Nathan Deal continues to lead Democrat Roy Barnes by 49 to 42 percent. Libertarian John Monds carries 4 percent.
“Nothing has effectively changed since we last conducted a statewide survey a week ago,” said Mark Rountree, President of Landmark Communications. “Barnes’ support has increased slightly as traditional voting groups solidify. But Deal’s numbers have not moved much. The attacks on him by Barnes are not working at this point.”
FIRST BALLOT TEST ON A POTENTIAL RUNOFF VOTE: Landmark asked voters how they would vote between Deal and Barnes in the event of a runoff election. 51 percent of voters chose Deal and 43 percent chose Barnes – an 8-point margin.
Rountree said, “Libertarians decidedly come down on the side of Deal. Third party voters say they would support Deal over Barnes by a 3 to 1 margin."
In the race for Attorney General, Republican Sam Olens leads Democrat Ken Hodges by 47 to 40 percent.
In the race for School Superintendent, Republican John Barge leads Democrat Joe Martin by 48 to 36 percent.
Landmark Communications polled 1,686 randomly selected active voters on Tuesday, October 26. Only voters who said they would “definitely vote” or “likely vote” are included in the final analysis. Voters who did not identify themselves as “definitely” or “likely” to vote were not included in the final analysis. 25.8 percent of respondents were African American, a traditional number for gubernatorial year elections in Georgia. The margin of error is plus or minus 2.4 percent.
You can download the results directly from landmarkcommunications.net.
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Attorney General: Olens (R) leads Hodges (D) 47-40%
School Superintendent: Barge (R) leads Martin (D) 48-36%
Despite a slight tightening in the race for governor, Republican Nathan Deal continues to lead Democrat Roy Barnes by 49 to 42 percent. Libertarian John Monds carries 4 percent.
“Nothing has effectively changed since we last conducted a statewide survey a week ago,” said Mark Rountree, President of Landmark Communications. “Barnes’ support has increased slightly as traditional voting groups solidify. But Deal’s numbers have not moved much. The attacks on him by Barnes are not working at this point.”
FIRST BALLOT TEST ON A POTENTIAL RUNOFF VOTE: Landmark asked voters how they would vote between Deal and Barnes in the event of a runoff election. 51 percent of voters chose Deal and 43 percent chose Barnes – an 8-point margin.
Rountree said, “Libertarians decidedly come down on the side of Deal. Third party voters say they would support Deal over Barnes by a 3 to 1 margin."
In the race for Attorney General, Republican Sam Olens leads Democrat Ken Hodges by 47 to 40 percent.
In the race for School Superintendent, Republican John Barge leads Democrat Joe Martin by 48 to 36 percent.
Landmark Communications polled 1,686 randomly selected active voters on Tuesday, October 26. Only voters who said they would “definitely vote” or “likely vote” are included in the final analysis. Voters who did not identify themselves as “definitely” or “likely” to vote were not included in the final analysis. 25.8 percent of respondents were African American, a traditional number for gubernatorial year elections in Georgia. The margin of error is plus or minus 2.4 percent.
You can download the results directly from landmarkcommunications.net.
---
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Monday, October 18, 2010
Professor: Barnes charges 'false'
Barnes served on State Bar panel that reviewed and OK'd legislation
In a desperate, last-ditch smear on Nathan Deal, Roy Barnes is embarrassing himself by telling lies about Deal's work to update Georgia's rules of evidence to meet federal standards - which 42 states have done.
Just how desperate is he? Roy Barnes SERVED on the State Bar Evidence Committee of Georgia during the time that panel reviewed and approved this legislation.
You don't have to take our word for it. Professor of Law at Georgia State University, Paul Milich - who drafted the reform of the evidence code in the legislation - had this to say:
"To suggest, as the ad does, that the proposal approved by the State Bar would have abolished rape shield protection for victims in Georgia is simply and absolutely false."
He went on to say that Barnes's allegation that this legislation would have softened the protection for victims of rape is in insult to lawyers and judges:
"The point to keep in mind is that nobody was remotely suggesting that Georgia back off its protection of rape victims. No one on the State Bar Committee would ever have even suggested that we reduce protection for rape victims. That is an insult to the thoughtful lawyers and judges who served on that committee."
The proposed law actually strengthened protections for victims. First, it expanded the shield to ALL sexual assault victims, whereas before it covered only rape victims. Second, it had no exception to the rape shield for "highly material" evidence that would suggest consent. Third, the proposed rule stated that even if the evidence of the victim's past was admissible under an exception, the trial judge also had to find that the need for or probative value of the evidence outweighed its prejudicial effect on the victim before allowing it in.
"This has become absolutely pathetic," said Deal spokesman Brian Robinson. "Trial lawyer Roy Barnes defended child molesters and murderers, doing his part to keep criminals on the streets of Georgia. While Nathan has a tough-on-crime record, Roy Barnes has an anything-for-a-dime record."
Nathan Deal was a respected prosecutor who put rapists in prison and authored the Georgia law that allows victim impact statements at the time of sentencing. Nathan also supported the Violence Against Women and DOJ Reauthorization Act of 2005 that increased annual VAWA funding from $185 million per year to $225 million per year. The bill also supported the placement of special victim assistants in law enforcement to serve as liaisons between victims of domestic violence, dating violence, sex assault and stalking -- and law enforcement personnel. It also increased by $10 million funding for services for victims of violence, including rape crisis centers and other rape and violence support centers.
In a desperate, last-ditch smear on Nathan Deal, Roy Barnes is embarrassing himself by telling lies about Deal's work to update Georgia's rules of evidence to meet federal standards - which 42 states have done.
Just how desperate is he? Roy Barnes SERVED on the State Bar Evidence Committee of Georgia during the time that panel reviewed and approved this legislation.
You don't have to take our word for it. Professor of Law at Georgia State University, Paul Milich - who drafted the reform of the evidence code in the legislation - had this to say:
"To suggest, as the ad does, that the proposal approved by the State Bar would have abolished rape shield protection for victims in Georgia is simply and absolutely false."
He went on to say that Barnes's allegation that this legislation would have softened the protection for victims of rape is in insult to lawyers and judges:
"The point to keep in mind is that nobody was remotely suggesting that Georgia back off its protection of rape victims. No one on the State Bar Committee would ever have even suggested that we reduce protection for rape victims. That is an insult to the thoughtful lawyers and judges who served on that committee."
The proposed law actually strengthened protections for victims. First, it expanded the shield to ALL sexual assault victims, whereas before it covered only rape victims. Second, it had no exception to the rape shield for "highly material" evidence that would suggest consent. Third, the proposed rule stated that even if the evidence of the victim's past was admissible under an exception, the trial judge also had to find that the need for or probative value of the evidence outweighed its prejudicial effect on the victim before allowing it in.
"This has become absolutely pathetic," said Deal spokesman Brian Robinson. "Trial lawyer Roy Barnes defended child molesters and murderers, doing his part to keep criminals on the streets of Georgia. While Nathan has a tough-on-crime record, Roy Barnes has an anything-for-a-dime record."
Nathan Deal was a respected prosecutor who put rapists in prison and authored the Georgia law that allows victim impact statements at the time of sentencing. Nathan also supported the Violence Against Women and DOJ Reauthorization Act of 2005 that increased annual VAWA funding from $185 million per year to $225 million per year. The bill also supported the placement of special victim assistants in law enforcement to serve as liaisons between victims of domestic violence, dating violence, sex assault and stalking -- and law enforcement personnel. It also increased by $10 million funding for services for victims of violence, including rape crisis centers and other rape and violence support centers.
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Tuesday, October 12, 2010
National FOP Throws Financial Support Behind Carter to Represent Georgia 4th U.S. Congressional District
Through its political action committee in Washington, D.C., the National Fraternal Order of Police is donating $1,000 to business owner Liz Carter to represent Georgia's 4th Congressional District.
William E. Peacock, Jr. Lodge #10, representing law enforcement officers in DeKalb County, already had voted to endorse Carter in her race against incumbent candidate Hank Johnson.
Members of the local lodge will present the donation to Carter on behalf of the national membership at 7:30 p.m. Wednesday, Oct. 13, at the DeKalb Fraternal Order of Police Lodge, 1238 Ridge Ave., Stone Mountain, Ga., 30083. Georgia President of the Fraternal Order of Police Carlton Stallings and State Trustee W.E. "Billy" Peacock will be also be in attendance. The public and press are invited to attend.
The national organization regularly backs candidates who focus on public safety issues, according to National FOP President Chuck Canterbury. "The FOP exists to support law enforcement officers across the country," he said. "That responsibility includes working to ensure officers' needs and concerns are a priority to local, state and national officials. Johnson's public safety record is unsatisfactory, and Carter should be a refreshing change."
Carter considers public safety an issue of national security - one of her key concerns. "Our sheriff, police and fire departments are our first responders and should be treated with the respect we give our troops," she said. "These men and women serve our country and are part of our national security infrastructure. With the issues that face our great nation, we cannot afford to cut public safety jobs."
Carter, a job creator who focuses on delivering best practices and thought leadership, has 20 years of business experience. She's been noted for managing multi-million dollar business units, effectively cutting costs and increasing revenues - skills she intends to leverage in Congress.
Prior to owning her own consulting firm, she held executive-level marketing and business management positions at high technology and financial companies. Carter began her career in land development and transitioned into the world of technology at Novell before continuing in leadership positions at State Street Corporation, Sitara Networks and CheckFree Corporation.
William E. Peacock, Jr. Lodge #10, representing law enforcement officers in DeKalb County, already had voted to endorse Carter in her race against incumbent candidate Hank Johnson.
Members of the local lodge will present the donation to Carter on behalf of the national membership at 7:30 p.m. Wednesday, Oct. 13, at the DeKalb Fraternal Order of Police Lodge, 1238 Ridge Ave., Stone Mountain, Ga., 30083. Georgia President of the Fraternal Order of Police Carlton Stallings and State Trustee W.E. "Billy" Peacock will be also be in attendance. The public and press are invited to attend.
The national organization regularly backs candidates who focus on public safety issues, according to National FOP President Chuck Canterbury. "The FOP exists to support law enforcement officers across the country," he said. "That responsibility includes working to ensure officers' needs and concerns are a priority to local, state and national officials. Johnson's public safety record is unsatisfactory, and Carter should be a refreshing change."
Carter considers public safety an issue of national security - one of her key concerns. "Our sheriff, police and fire departments are our first responders and should be treated with the respect we give our troops," she said. "These men and women serve our country and are part of our national security infrastructure. With the issues that face our great nation, we cannot afford to cut public safety jobs."
Carter, a job creator who focuses on delivering best practices and thought leadership, has 20 years of business experience. She's been noted for managing multi-million dollar business units, effectively cutting costs and increasing revenues - skills she intends to leverage in Congress.
Prior to owning her own consulting firm, she held executive-level marketing and business management positions at high technology and financial companies. Carter began her career in land development and transitioned into the world of technology at Novell before continuing in leadership positions at State Street Corporation, Sitara Networks and CheckFree Corporation.
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
First Student-Led Gubernatorial Debate to be Aired Live on GPB Oct 3rd
In an effort to increase voter participation among college students, student leaders from universities across the State of Georgia have planned a gubernatorial debate between the three candidates in the Governor’s race: Roy Barnes (D), Nathan Deal (R), and John Monds (I). All three candidates have confirmed to participate in the live debate on Sunday, October 3rd from 78pm on Georgia Public Broadcasting, located on Fourteenth Street in Atlanta. The debate will focus on issues pertinent to voters aged 18‐30, including the economy, transportation, taxes, higher education, and energy policy.
Students will have the opportunity to pose questions to the candidates via the debate website www.gastudentvote.com. Questions will be selected from that website and used during the debate. The interactive and web‐based nature of the debate makes it truly unique and helps students connect with the election cycle in ways previously unexplored or underutilized. In addition to the debate, universities will hold voter registration drives on their campuses and promote active participation in the various statewide and federal races.
The studio audience will be principally comprised of students representing various universities and colleges throughout Georgia. The studio can accommodate 250 audience members. School administrators and the Board of Regents have been invited to attend, as well. All universities are invited to attend the debate and submit questions for the candidates. In addition to a student audience, each university is encouraged to host its own live viewing party on campus, especially to accommodate the schools who located too far to attend the debate. Debate watching parties will increase total audience size and participation throughout the state.
The debate has primarily been organized by the Student Government Association of the Georgia Institute of Technology. Additionally, the student governments from the University of Georgia, Georgia College and State University, and Morehouse College have chosen to participate as principal partner schools and will each have a student panelist asking questions to the candidates during the debate. Susan Hoffman, a GPB host and producer, will be the moderator for the debate. Her fifteen years of experience with GPB brings additional expertise and guidance. GPB has been an excellent process throughout the entire planning process, and broadcasting the debate live on their network will greatly increase the scope of this debate.
Students will have the opportunity to pose questions to the candidates via the debate website www.gastudentvote.com. Questions will be selected from that website and used during the debate. The interactive and web‐based nature of the debate makes it truly unique and helps students connect with the election cycle in ways previously unexplored or underutilized. In addition to the debate, universities will hold voter registration drives on their campuses and promote active participation in the various statewide and federal races.
The studio audience will be principally comprised of students representing various universities and colleges throughout Georgia. The studio can accommodate 250 audience members. School administrators and the Board of Regents have been invited to attend, as well. All universities are invited to attend the debate and submit questions for the candidates. In addition to a student audience, each university is encouraged to host its own live viewing party on campus, especially to accommodate the schools who located too far to attend the debate. Debate watching parties will increase total audience size and participation throughout the state.
The debate has primarily been organized by the Student Government Association of the Georgia Institute of Technology. Additionally, the student governments from the University of Georgia, Georgia College and State University, and Morehouse College have chosen to participate as principal partner schools and will each have a student panelist asking questions to the candidates during the debate. Susan Hoffman, a GPB host and producer, will be the moderator for the debate. Her fifteen years of experience with GPB brings additional expertise and guidance. GPB has been an excellent process throughout the entire planning process, and broadcasting the debate live on their network will greatly increase the scope of this debate.
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Tuesday, September 21, 2010
Herman Cain to Host Candidate Interviews on Radio Program
On September 21, I will begin my Georgia Gubernatorial and Congressional Candidate Forum. On the nights listed below, each one will be interviewed and given the opportunity to educate the public about their stance on the issues.
Various Republican and Democrat candidates have been invited however, the Democratic candidates either have not responded yet or they are unable to participate.
Make sure you become more informed about who is running for office in our state... Listen! You just might learn something!
Sept 21 - Gov Race
Nathan Deal (R) -- Confirmed
Sept 22 - Dist 8
Austin Scott (R) -- Confirmed
Sept 28 - Dist 13
Mike Crane (R) -- Confirmed
Sept 29 - Dist 4
Liz Carter (R) -- Confirmed
Sept 30 - Dist 5
Fenn Little (R) -- Confirmed
Various Republican and Democrat candidates have been invited however, the Democratic candidates either have not responded yet or they are unable to participate.
Make sure you become more informed about who is running for office in our state... Listen! You just might learn something!
Sept 21 - Gov Race
Nathan Deal (R) -- Confirmed
Sept 22 - Dist 8
Austin Scott (R) -- Confirmed
Sept 28 - Dist 13
Mike Crane (R) -- Confirmed
Sept 29 - Dist 4
Liz Carter (R) -- Confirmed
Sept 30 - Dist 5
Fenn Little (R) -- Confirmed
The New Herman Cain Show
Weeknights 7pm-10pm
On AM750 and Now 95.5FM News/Talk WSB Listen! You just might learn something!
On AM750 and Now 95.5FM News/Talk WSB Listen! You just might learn something!
There are several ways to listen to the show:On AM750 and Now 95.5FM News/Talk WSB
LIVE ONLINE
LIVE on IPHONE/IPOD
LIVE on BLACKBERRY
LIVE ONLINE
LIVE on IPHONE/IPOD
LIVE on BLACKBERRY
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Monday, August 23, 2010
MAG, Others Sponsoring Free Public Forum for all Three Gubernatorial Candidates
Cobb Energy Centre, Saturday August 28
The Medical Association of Georgia (MAG) is sponsoring a free public forum that will feature Georgia’s gubernatorial candidates – Democrat Roy Barnes, Republican Nathan Deal, and Libertarian John Monds – from 1 p.m. to 2 p.m. on Saturday, August 28 at the Cobb Energy Centre in Atlanta.
“This is going to be a great opportunity to hear the candidates address the most important and challenging issues we face as a state in a very intimate way,” says MAG President Gary C. Richter, M.D., who will serve as the event’s host. “We are genuinely excited – and we are encouraging the general public to attend.”
The media panel will feature some of Atlanta’s leading journalists, including John Bachman with WSB-TV (ABC), Wendy Saltzman with WGCL-TV (CBS), and Kyle Wingfield with The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Wingfield will serve as the program moderator.
WXIA will “stream” the entire event live at http://www.11alive.com/bullpen/magforum.aspx.
As a program note, the Lt. Governor’s portion of the program has been cancelled due to scheduling conflicts.
Parking at the Cobb Energy Centre costs $5.
Along with MAG, the Governor Candidates’ Forum is being sponsored by the Georgia Drug Card, the Georgia Chapter of the American College of Cardiology, the Georgia College of Emergency Physicians, the Georgia Neurological Society, the Georgia Orthopaedic Society, the Georgia Psychiatric Physicians Association, the Georgia Society of Dermatologists, and the Georgia Society of Ophthalmology.
With more than 6,000 members, MAG is the leading voice for physicians in Georgia. Monitor www.mag.org for the latest information.
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The Medical Association of Georgia (MAG) is sponsoring a free public forum that will feature Georgia’s gubernatorial candidates – Democrat Roy Barnes, Republican Nathan Deal, and Libertarian John Monds – from 1 p.m. to 2 p.m. on Saturday, August 28 at the Cobb Energy Centre in Atlanta.
“This is going to be a great opportunity to hear the candidates address the most important and challenging issues we face as a state in a very intimate way,” says MAG President Gary C. Richter, M.D., who will serve as the event’s host. “We are genuinely excited – and we are encouraging the general public to attend.”
The media panel will feature some of Atlanta’s leading journalists, including John Bachman with WSB-TV (ABC), Wendy Saltzman with WGCL-TV (CBS), and Kyle Wingfield with The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Wingfield will serve as the program moderator.
WXIA will “stream” the entire event live at http://www.11alive.com/bullpen/magforum.aspx.
As a program note, the Lt. Governor’s portion of the program has been cancelled due to scheduling conflicts.
Parking at the Cobb Energy Centre costs $5.
Along with MAG, the Governor Candidates’ Forum is being sponsored by the Georgia Drug Card, the Georgia Chapter of the American College of Cardiology, the Georgia College of Emergency Physicians, the Georgia Neurological Society, the Georgia Orthopaedic Society, the Georgia Psychiatric Physicians Association, the Georgia Society of Dermatologists, and the Georgia Society of Ophthalmology.
With more than 6,000 members, MAG is the leading voice for physicians in Georgia. Monitor www.mag.org for the latest information.
---
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Also check out :
www.Hummingbird-Hollow.com
Twitter: @hhpotterystudio
www.HorizonsLTD.com
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